Archive for September, 2014

Week of Sept 26 2014 Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, September 29th, 2014

“Losing money is the least of my troubles. A loss never troubles me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong – not taking the loss – that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.” – Jesse Livermore

1. Obama Administration Issues New Rules to Combat Tax Inversions WSJ, the Treasury Department announced new tax rules late yesterday to deter U.S. companies from moving their domicile to countries with lower tax rates. The tax changes make it harder for companies to complete overseas mergers, and should they choose to invert, companies will face a hard time using the cash accumulated abroad. The new rules are effective immediately and apply to all deals that had not closed as of late last week.
2. US and allies attack Isis in SyriaFT, the U.S., joined by five Arab allies, launched the first air strikes on Islamic State targets in Syria last Monday, marking the first U.S. military intervention in Syria since the start of the country’s civil war. The U.S.-led strikes opens the war’s new front, and is on top of the extra funding approved by Congress last week to train Syrian rebels.
3. Pimco ETF Draws Probe by SECWSJ, the SEC is investigating whether the way bond giant Pimco values bond holdings may artificially boost the returns of its flagship fund. For the past several months, regulators have been probing Bill Gross’s $3.6B Total Return Fund (NYSEARCA:BOND), seeing if the ETF bought bonds at discounted prices, but then relied on higher valuations for the assets when calculating the holdings’ value.
4. Business spending lifts second-quarter GDP to 4.6%MarketWatch, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) the value of all goods and services produced by the U.S. — grew at a real 4.6% annual rate in the second quarter, the Commerce Department reported. The even faster pace of growth stemmed from stronger exports and business investment than the government originally calculated. Spending on structures such as plants and office buildings was revised up to 12.6% from 9.4%, while spending on equipment was raised to 11.2% from 10.7%.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of Sept 19 2014 Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, September 22nd, 2014

“I have learned through the years that after a good run of profits in the markets, it`s very important to take a few days off as a reward. The natural tendency is to keep pushing until the streak ends. But experience has taught me that a rest in the middle of the streak can often extend it.”“- Martin Schwartz

1. U.S. to export condensate for third month to Europe, South KoreaReuters, export of ultra light oil, or condensate, from the United States are set to continue for a third month, with two cargoes due to load in September for shipment to Europe and South Korea. Oil producers are looking to export a growing surplus of condensate due to the shale boom, while consumers, such as refiners, have lobbied to keep exports forbidden to ensure lower energy costs in the U.S. Washington has still held back on issuing more permits to export the minimally refined oil, despite growing international pressure to soften the ban.
2. Bull Market Crosses The 2,000 Day Mark — courtesy of BIG, below is a chart showing the length (calendar days) of bull and bear markets for the S&P 500 as they have occurred from 1928 through today. As noted, only three other bull markets have lasted longer than current market.

3. FOMC Meeting — the Fed renewed its pledge to keep interest rates near zero for a “considerable time,” reassuring investors who might have been worried that the statement would point to an earlier than anticipated rate increase. As expected, the Fed said it would move to end its most recent asset purchase program at its next policy meeting in October.
4. “Dow Theory” Shows Bullish Move — courtesy of BIG, the Dow Transports index has broken out to a new high as well as the the Dow Industrial’s.

5. Scotland spurns independence in historic vote but demand new powers — Scotland spurned independence in a historic referendum that threatened to rip the United Kingdom apart. Opponents of independence won 55 percent of the vote while separatists won 45 percent with all 3.6 million votes – a record 85 percent turnout – counted.
6. Alibaba IPO prices at top of range, raising $21.8 billion — Alibaba raised $21.8B and shattering records as the largest U.S. IPO in history. The sale places Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in the ranks of the most valuable Internet companies with a market capitalization of $168B, 20x FY14 (ended March ’14) sales and 45x FY14 earnings.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of Sept 12 2014 Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, September 15th, 2014

“Investing is no different. It is a game of repetition where hundreds of small actions result in one larger result. But most importantly, it is a game of risk management. It is not the home run hitter who wins in the long-run. Rather, it is that strategist who devises the best long-term plan who ultimately wins. While hitting home runs is sexy it is rarely a recipe for success in the investment world. Aim high, but play small. Over time, good risk management and patience wins. Power is no substitute for precision and patience. The same is true in the world of investing.” – The Prag Cap

1. Vodafone to Launch a New Mobile Payments Service with Visa — Vodafone is developing a new mobile payments service with Visa (NYSE:V) which will allow for contactless payments via SIM cards embedded with NFC technology. Launching the service later this year, Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD) will probably be beaten to the market by Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), which is expected to integrate mobile payments into its new iPhone due to be unveiled this week.
2. GM to offer connected car, automated driving technology in 2016Reuters, General Motors is planning to launch cars by 2016 with a hands-free automated driving system and vehicle-to-vehicle communications designed to help avoid collisions. While commercializing a fully automated vehicle may take until the next decade, the new GM (NYSE:GM) vehicles will still require drivers to pay attention to the road. One company which targeted this technology is Mobileye (MBLY).
3. EBay’s PayPal Unit to Start Accepting Bitcoin PaymentsBloomberg, eBay will start processing payments in bitcoin at its Braintree payments subsidiary, part of its PayPal (NASDAQ:EBAY) unit. Braintree will roll out the capability in the coming months, and will work with bitcoin exchange Coinbase to enable payments in the virtual currency. The move could potentially allow PayPal’s 152M accounts to use the currency as payment.
4. Visa and Apple Opening a New Era of Payments on Mobile Devices — Visa has announced it will debut a new payment service in conjunction with Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) launch of Apple Pay. The new payment system will be available on all devices Apple unveiled last week, including the curved 4.7-inch and 5.5-inch iPhone 6 and Apple Watch. Visa (NYSE:V) says Token Service will allow Visa cards to be added to Apple Pay through the use of a digital account number (token) which can be stored on devices.
5. U.S. retail sales rose in August as Americans bought automobiles and a range of other goodsReuters, “core sales” – which strip out automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, and correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product, increased 0.4 percent in August. July sales revised upward to 0.4 percent, which was previously reported as a 0.1 percent rise. The increase in retail sales, which account for a third of consumer spending, was in line with economists’ expectations.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of Sept 5 2014 Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, September 8th, 2014

“I have been trading for decades and I am still standing. I have seen a lot of traders come and go. They have a system or a program that works in some specific environments and fails in others. In contrast, my strategy is dynamic and ever evolving. I constantly learn and change.” – Thomas Busby

1. Apple Teaming Up With Visa, MasterCard on IPhone WalletBloomberg, Apple Inc. (AAPL) plans to turn its next iPhone into a mobile wallet through a partnership with major payment networks, banks and retailers. Apple is planning a new partnership with major payment networks, including Visa (NYSE:V), MasterCard (NYSE:MA) and American Express (NYSE:AXP) to transform the next iPhone into a mobile wallet. The announcement follows earlier reports that the iPhone 6 will feature NFC and support a mobile payments platform. Original article was written back in Sept 2011. CLICKHERE FOR THE ARTICLE.
2. Putin: Outline of Cease-Fire Is Reached With UkraineWSJ, Russian President Vladimir Putin confirmed last week that he and his Ukrainian counterpart had agreed to the outlines of a cease-fire plan between Kiev’s forces and pro-Russian rebels fighting in eastern Ukraine. The seven-point plan calls for the separatists to end their offensive against Ukrainian forces around the rebel strongholds of Donetsk and Luhansk, while Kiev would pull its forces back, Mr. Putin said in Mongolia.
3. U.S. regulators adopt tighter rules for banks’ cash needs Reuters, regulators adopted final rules for banks to hold enough high-quality liquid assets (cash-like) to last 30-days in crisis. The 6-big banks would need $2.5 trillion cash combined, or $100 bil more than they now have reserved. Banks have until 2017 to comply with the new rule.
4. Hiring slows as U.S. adds 142,000 jobs in August — the deceleration in hiring last month ended a six-month streak in which the U.S. added at least 200,000 jobs a month, the best stretch of job creation since 2006. The number of jobs created also fell well short of Wall Street’s forecast calling for a 228,000 gain. The dropoff stemmed in large part from a decline in jobs in the retail and auto sectors.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of Aug 29 2014 Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Tuesday, September 2nd, 2014

“Every trader has strengths and weakness. Some are good holders of winners, but may hold their losers a little too long. Others may cut their winners a little short, but are quick to take their losses. As long as you stick to your own style, you get the good and bad in your own approach.” – Michael Marcus

1. Burger King in Talks to Buy Tim Hortons in Canada Tax DealWSJ, Burger King Worldwide is in talks to buy Tim Hortons (NYSE:THI) in a deal that would create the 3rd largest quick-service restaurant company in the world. The deal is being structured as a tax inversion, in which the new company would be headquartered in Canada. Tim Hortons and Burger King (NYSE:BKW) are expected to remain distinct brands if the merger is finalized.
2. Apple Preparing New 12.9-Inch IPad for Early 2015Bloomberg, Apple is preparing to manufacture the company’s largest iPad to date at 12.9″ (current versions are 9.7″ and 7.9″), with production set to start early next year. The move comes as sales for iPads have declined for two straight quarters, and suggests that Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is going to go after enterprise customers where the larger device could replace the traditional laptop.
3. Second-quarter GDP revised up to 4.2% — the U.S. economy grew at a 4.2% annual pace in the second quarter as businesses sharply increased spending on buildings and equipment and consumers spent more after huddling inside during the winter.
4. Ebola vaccine from GSK to begin U.S. clinical trials within weeksReuters, a new announcement by U.S. health officials today will state that a human study for the Ebola vaccine made by GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK) will begin within a couple of weeks instead of later this year as the company originally estimated. Glaxo’s vaccine contains a common cold virus that has been engineered to carry two genes of the virus.
5. Americans cut spending in July MarketWatch, consumer spending dropped a seasonally adjusted 0.1% last month, the Commerce Department reported. The reduction in spending in the first month of the third quarter suggests the U.S. will fall well short of the second-quarter growth rate of 4.2% unless outlays rise much faster in August and September. Consumer spending accounts for nearly 75% of US GDP.
6. Morgan Stanley (MS) plans natural gas export plant in new commodities foray Reuters, Morgan Stanley is filing plans to build, own and operate one of the first U.S. compressed natural gas export facilities and submitted its application to the Department of Energy in May. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), along with Goldman (NYSE:GS), are the only two Wall Street banks that are allowed to own and operate infrastructure of raw materials due to their “grandfather” status for any commodities activities they engaged in before 1997.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

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