Archive for June, 2014

Week of June 21 2014- Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, June 23rd, 2014

“Success if getting what you want. Happiness is wanting what you get.” — Dale Carnegie

1. China Surpasses U.S. as Largest Corporate Debt Issuer NYTimes, China has overtaken the United States as the world’s biggest issuer of corporate debt, despite worsening cash flow at Chinese companies since the financial crisis, according to a latest report Standard & Poor’s.
Standard & Poor’s, the ratings agency, found that China’s nonfinancial companies had total outstanding bank loans and bonds worth $14.2 trillion at the end of last year, compared with $13.1 trillion in the United States. S.&P. estimated that one-quarter to one-third of China’s corporate debt is sourced from the country’s shadow banking sector, a murky world of nonbank lending that caters to borrowers who would otherwise struggle to secure financing.
2. Argentina May Faces Fresh DefaultFT, FT reported that Argentinian sovereign default have been raised after President Cristina Fernandez said the country cannot pay the $1.5B it owes to a group mostly consisting of hedge funds by June 30. The statement follows a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that orders the country to repay its holdout investors before restructuring its debt. Also, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services lowered its long-term foreign currency rating on Argentina to “CCC-” from “CCC+”, citing a higher risk of default on the country’s foreign currency debt.
3. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) cuts US growth from 2.8% to 2.0% — the IMF has reduced its 2014 U.S economic growth forecast to 2% from the 2.8% it predicted in April, due to a weak first quarter, although the fund has maintained its 3% growth outlook for 2015. Markets are predicting the Fed to start raising rates in the middle of next year, although the IMF related that it is not certain about the expected increase. Rates have been near zero since late 2008.
4. PayPal Expanding Into 10 New Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Europe and Latin America — Ebay expansion brings the total amount of territories PayPal serves to 203. Customers that have web access and a bank card authorized for Internet transactions in the new regions will now be able to sign up for accounts. PayPal (EBAY) reported revenue of $1.8B for the first quarter of 2014, and 148M active accounts worldwide.
5. June 2014 FOMC Meeting — Fed officials stated that that starting next year interest rates would rise from zero faster than previously expected. The Fed cut purchases by another $10 billion, to $35 billion, keeping it on pace to stop the program late this year.
6. NATO Says Russian Troops Massing Again Near Ukraine BorderWSJ, NATO has announced that Russia has begun increasing troops again on its border with Ukraine. Threats of new Western sanctions have been voiced, but while the U.S. can institute them at any time, the EU will have to wait until a meeting of EU leaders in Brussels on June 26-27.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of June 13 2014- Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, June 16th, 2014

“An investment in knowledge pays the most interest.” — Ben Franklin

1. Russian companies prepare to pay for trade in renminbift, Russian companies are preparing to switch contracts to renminbi and other Asian currencies amid fears that western sanctions may freeze them out of the US dollar market. Its central bank is working to create a national payment system to reduce the country’s dependence on western companies such as Visa and MasterCard.
2. IEA Says China Natural Gas Demand to Nearly DoubleWSJ, China’s natural gas demand to nearly double by 2019, offsetting slower growth in Europe and around the world. Global gas demand is expected to rise by 2.2% a year by the end of 2019. The demand growth for the gas is driven by the Asia-Pacific region – especially China, while supply growth is dominated by private-sector operators in Australia and North America.
3. Alibaba launches US-based online marketplaceCNBC, China’s largest e-commerce company is making its first appearance in the U.S. with the debut of 11Main.com, an invite-only online marketplace that showcases small business retailers. 11 Main is owned by Alibaba, the e-commerce giant in China that filed for an initial public offering in the U.S. in May. Bigger than Amazon and eBay combined, Alibaba had no U.S. e-commerce presence until now.
4. US retail sales rise less than expected in MayReuters, the Commerce Department said on Thursday retail sales gained 0.3 percent last month. Retail sales, which account for a third of consumer spending, rose by a revised 0.5 percent in April. Excluding autos, sales were up 0.1 percent in May. Declines in receipts at sporting goods shops. Sales at electronics and appliances stores fell as did those at clothing retailers and restaurants and bars.
5. European Commission (EU) Probes Irish, Dutch Taxes — the EU will investigate the corporate tax codes of Ireland, the Netherlands and Luxembourg to see if the low tax rates paid by Apple (AAPL), Starbucks (SBUX) and other corporations amount to illegal state aid. The recent senate probe stated that Apple used a loophole to avoid Irish HQs.
6. US Mulls Irag Military Action — as the Al Qaida-linked group that overran Mosul and threatened to advance on Baghdad and 2 other cities, the White House said that airstrikes are possible through ground troops aren’t under consideration. The Kurdish troops took control of Kirkuk, the capital of an oil-rich northern provinces. Irag is one of the key oil suppliers in OPEC.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

Week of June 6 2014- Weekly Recap & The Week Ahead

Monday, June 9th, 2014

“People try to really read the tea leaves, even though there’s really not enough information to make conclusions. And then they’ll get exuberant, and then depressed. I mean, as Warren Buffet said, dealing with the market is like dealing with a manic depressive.” — Tesla’s Elon Musk

1. US factory orders increase for third straight monthReuters, new orders for U.S. factory goods rose for a third straight month in April, pointing to strength in manufacturing and the broader economy. New orders for manufactured goods increased 0.7 percent. March’s orders were revised to show a 1.5 percent increase instead of the previously reported 0.9 percent rise.Orders excluding the volatile transportation category increased 0.5 percent as bookings for primary metals, electrical equipment, appliances and components and capital goods rose.
2. ECB installs negative deposit rateCNBC, the European Central Bank (ECB) took the unprecedented step by imposing a negative interest rate on banks for their deposits — in effect charging lenders to park money with it. At its June monetary policy meeting, the ECB cut the rate on its deposit facility for banks from 0 percent to minus 0.10 percent — the first time a major global central bank has moved rates into negative territory. It also cut its main interest rate to from 0.25 percent to 0.15 percent, and also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility by 35 basis points to 0.4 percent from 0.75 percent.
3. US created 217,000 jobs in May and unemployment rate declined to 6.3%CNBC, non-farm payrolls grew at a pace in line with recent trends, rising 217,000 in May as the unemployment rate held steady at 6.3 percent. Most of the job gains came on lower-paying industries as wages rose modestly, increasing 5 cents an hour to maintain the 2.1 percent growth over the past 12 months. A broader measure of joblessness that includes those working part time for economic reasons and those who have quit looking remained elevated at 12.2 percent.

4. Bank of America (BAC) in talks to pay $12bn over probeft, Bank of America is in talks to pay at least $12B to settle mortgage-related probes from the Department of Justice (DOJ) and various states. The DOJ was previously reported to be seeking more than $13B from BofA (BAC) over its mortgage lending – generally over loans tied to Countrywide and Merrill Lynch. The bank has already reached a $9.5B settlement with the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

The week ahead — Economic data from Econoday.com:

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