Archive for September 16th, 2011

Mobile Payment Updates — VeriFone(PAY) & NXP Semi (NXPI)

Friday, September 16th, 2011

As a follow up to Mobile Payment – Near Field Communications analysis, this article updates the latest events for the two companies mentioned; Verifone (PAY) and NXP Semiconducdor (NXPI).

VeriFone (PAY) (via Yahoo)
VeriFone Systems, Inc. designs, markets, and services electronic payment solutions that enable secure electronic payments among consumers, merchants, and financial institutions worldwide. The company provides countertop electronic payment systems that accept magnetic, smart card, and contactless/radio frequency identification cards; and support credit, debit, check, electronic benefits transfer, and various pre-paid products, as well as offers wireless system solutions.

Reader can access the full Q3 2011 earnings transcript PAY — Q3 Transcript

On Sept 6 2011, VeriFone (PAY) announced Q3 2011 earnings (via Reuter – Q3 2011 earnings release – Sept 6 2011):
* Q3 adj EPS $0.49 vs est $0.46
* Q3 rev up 21 pct
* Sees Q4 adj EPS $0.49-$0.50 vs est $0.49
* Sees Q4 rev $395-$400 mln vs est $395.9 mln
• VeriFone, whose customers are primarily financial institutions, payment processors, petroleum companies and retailers, is seeing growing demand for these mobile payment technologies in the United Kingdom ahead of the 2012 Olympics.
• “In London we have now signed nearly 6000 taxis to five-year processing agreements. UK retailers continue to embrace contactless systems,” Chief Executive Douglas Bergeron said on a conference call with analysts.
• The company continues to work with Google Inc to roll out the Google Wallet mobile payment service, which uses wireless NFC technology on mobile handsets.
• “The next big phase of the Google rollout is currently planned for the end of the month where we go from hundreds of locations to tens of thousands of locations,” CEO Bergeron said on the call.
• Verifone is also working with ISIS — an NFC-based mobile payment joint venture between AT&T , T-Mobile and Verizon Wireless; and PayPal Inc bring mobile payments to point-of-sale terminals in 2012.
• It has also won a $6.9 million contract with the Metropolitan Transportation Authority of New York City to depoly 1000 of its TransitPAY systems on buses which allow NFC-enabled smartphone-based payments.
• If initial rollouts lead to widescale deployment across the industry, the company’s revenue would grow by $100-$150 million in the U.S. and internationally.
Guidance:
• The company expects fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 49-50 cents per share on sales of $395-$400 million. Analysts were expecting a fourth-quarter profit of 49 cents, on revenue of $395.9 million, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
• Growth in North America will likely remain flat in the fourth quarter and will pick up next year, VeriFone said. It expects higher growth from Europe – especially from UK, France and Germany – and from emerging markets.
• Verifone raised its full-year adjusted profit outlook to $1.88-$1.89 a share on sales of $1.289-$1.29 billion, from its prior forecast of an adjusted profit of $1.80-$1.83 a share on sales of $1.17-$1.18 billion.

Technical Analysis:
• Expect PAY to encounter the 50-SMA resistance at around $38 range. The stock displayed a “death-cross” figure back in mid-July 2011 around $43. Looking forward, Mid-October is a better month for PAY.

NXP Semiconductor (NXPI) — As profile inYahoo –
NXP Semiconductors N.V., through its subsidiary NXP B.V., provides mixed signal solutions and semiconductor components primarily in Japan, Europe, South Korea, Rest of Asia Pacific, and the Americas. It offers small signal, power, and integrated discretes; and amplifiers, bipolar transistors, data converters, diodes, rectifiers, microcontrollers, sensors, and thyristors. The company’s products are used principally in automotive, identification, mobile, consumer, computing, wireless infrastructure, lighting, and industrial applications. It also develops audio and video multimedia software solutions for mobile phones. The company, formerly known as KASLION Acquisition B.V, was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
News Updates:
• Marketwire -08/30/11 EINDHOVEN, NETHERLANDS- NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI – News) today announced that Turkcell (NYSE: TKC – News) (ISE: TCELL), the leading communications and technology company in Turkey, has selected the PN544 near field communication (NFC) radio chip for Turkcell’s recently launched T20 smartphone. The T20 handset, manufactured by Huawei, is one of the world’s first commercially available low-cost Android NFC-enabled smartphones.
On August 17, 2011, NXP Semiconductor (NXPI) announced increase in share buy back to 8,000,000 shares from 5,000,000 previouly.
Marketwire – 08/17/11 EINDHOVEN, NETHERLANDSNXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI – News) announced today that its Board of Directors resolved to increase the number of shares to be repurchased under its stock repurchase plan as announced on July 29, 2011, from 5,000,000 shares to 8,000,000 shares.
On July 30, 2011, NXP Semiconductor (NXPI) announced Q2 2011 earnings (via Bloomberg – July 30 2011):
• Second quarter non-GAAP EPS of $0.51 missed the consensus estimate of $0.52 (GAAP EPS was $0.33). Revenue of $1.1 billion was flat year-over-year.
• NXP, based in Eindhoven, Netherlands, now sees NFC deliveries at the lower end or “perhaps even slightly below” an initially predicted range of 40 million to 100 million units, Chief Executive Officer Richard Clemmer said on an analyst conference call.
• The shortfall is caused by a combination of “formulation and agreement on the specific business models to support the ecosystem,” as well as business challenges some handset makers are experiencing
• “Carriers continue to try to figure out an economic proposition,” Clemmer said in a conference call today. The company still believes a substantial increase in mobile transactions will occur, albeit with a delay of one to two quarters, he said. For 2012, NXP expects a doubling of the number of units.
Guidance:
• Product revenue may fall as much as 5 percent in the third quarter versus the second quarter, the company said, and earnings per share will be in the range of 47 cents to 56 cents.
• For the third quarter, management guided non-GAAP EPS to $0.47 to $0.56, nowhere near the $0.66 consensus estimate and potentially falling short of non-GAAP EPS of $0.49 in the year-earlier quarter. In an ominous sign for the outlook beyond the third quarter, the company reduced its 2011 forecast of near-field communication chip shipments, explaining that mobile-phone operators are not expanding wireless payment systems as quickly as previously anticipated.

Technical Analysis:
• NXPI moved above the 50-SMA resistance at around $19 range on higher volume. The next level of resistance is around $25 (18% higher from the current price $20.23).

Disclosure: the author owns NXP Semiconductor (NXPI).

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